The Kobeissi Letter

Weekly analysis of various securities including equities, crude oil, natural gas, gold, treasuries and options.

Weekly Newsletters

Week of August 18th, 2025

The headwinds simply do not matter when momentum is so strong, and we continue to play the uptrend in equities.
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August 18, 2025

Week of August 11th, 2025

The late-July dip was quickly bought and the S&P 500 is setting up for a fresh record high this month.
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August 11, 2025

Week of August 4th, 2025

We believe last week's overdue pullback sets the stage for a higher low before 6500+ for the S&P 500.
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August 4, 2025

Week of July 28th, 2025

Fed week is officially here as rate cuts hopes have mounted and the S&P 500 nears 6,400 for the first time in history.
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July 28, 2025

Week of July 21st, 2025

The S&P 500 has officially crossed above 6,300 for the first time ever as Q2 2025 earnings season kicks off strong.
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July 21, 2025

Week of July 14th, 2025

Markets are no longer reacting to tariff headlines and bullish sentiment continues to build as record highs resume.
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July 14, 2025

Week of July 7th, 2025

Despite a shortened trading week, the S&P 500 rallied +1.7% extending its run into record high territory.
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July 7, 2025

Week of June 30th, 2025

The S&P 500 has officially entered record high territory for the first time since February 19th as the uptrend builds.
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June 30, 2025

Week of June 23rd, 2025

The Fed held rates, but markets continue to display signs of strength and resilience despite headline fatigue.
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June 23, 2025

Week of June 16th, 2025

Amid an already uncertain macroeconomic backdrop, a war between Israel and Iran adds more volatility to global markets.
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June 16, 2025

Week of June 9th, 2025

A stronger than expected jobs report delayed rate cut expectations and pushed the S&P 500 above 6,000 for the first time since February 21st.
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June 9, 2025

Week of June 2nd, 2025

The S&P 500 recovered losses after President Trump delayed 50% tariffs on the European Union, but tensions with China have escalated again.
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June 2, 2025

Week of May 26th, 2025

The trade war appears to have returned as President Trump threatens 50% tariffs on the EU and equity markets have started to pull back.
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May 26, 2025

Week of May 19th, 2025

Sentiment has gone from Extreme Fear to Extreme Greed in a matter of weeks and we believe a pullback in stocks is well overdue.
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May 19, 2025

Week of May 12th, 2025

The S&P 500 appears to be losing momentum as an abundance of bullish news has been priced-in to equity markets since early-April.
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May 12, 2025

Week of May 5th, 2025

The S&P 500 has officially posted its first 9-day winning streak since 2004 as sentiment has rapidly flipped in the bullish direction.
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May 5, 2025

Week of April 28th, 2025

Trade deal euphoria is at its highest levels since the trade war began and we believe markets are set for another near-term pullback.
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April 28, 2025

Week of April 21st, 2025

Earnings season has officially begun and the market's relief rally appears to be losing momentum as another lower high has formed.
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April 21, 2025

Week of April 14th, 2025

Equity markets broke multiple records to both directions last week in their most volatile week since the pandemic crash in March 2020.
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April 14, 2025

Week of April 7th, 2025

The S&P 500 erased nearly $5 trillion in 2 days as our short targets were met and multiple US indices entered bear market territory.
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April 7, 2025

Week of March 31st, 2025

It's officially "reciprocal tariff week" which we believe is set to be the most volatile week of 2025 so far as the S&P 500 resumes its drop.
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March 31, 2025

Week of March 24th, 2025

The S&P 500 officially ended a four-week losing streak but markets remain on edge ahead of the April 2nd tariff deadline.
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March 24, 2025

Week of March 17th, 2025

The S&P 500 briefly dipped into correction territory, but we believe Friday's relief rally is set to continue in the week ahead.
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March 17, 2025

Week of March 10th, 2025

The Nasdaq 100 officially fell into correction territory as President Trump ramped up tariff threats and unemployment rose to 4.1%.
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March 10, 2025

Week of March 3rd, 2025

In another week full of market moving headlines, dip buyers stepped in on Friday and we expect upward momentum to persist.
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March 3, 2025

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